Pair #9998

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-BDEC

Will Bryson DeChambeau win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 1386183

YES ask: 0.0120
NO ask: 0.9890
Last: 0.0120

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Bryson DeChambeau wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-BDEC

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 32288

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Bryson DeChambeau wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-12T08:05:07Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: The Open Championship is one of the four majors, so winning it necessitates winning a major. Winning a major doesn't necessitate winning this specific major.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -86.02% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0190 + ~$0.0028 est. fees
Days to maturity: 4
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -90.25% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-12T12:36:01Z

Authenticate

← Back to review queue