Pair #9996

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVCOMPETE-27APR-BDEC

Bryson DeChambeau to compete in a LIV Golf Tournament in Q1 2027 (January 1, 2027 to March 31, 2027)?

Series: KXLIVCOMPETE
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2027-04-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 1011

YES ask: 0.2900
NO ask: 0.7800
Last: 0.2400

Rules

If Bryson DeChambeau competes in a LIV Golf Tournament in Q1 2027 (January 1, 2027 to March 31, 2027), then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-BDEC

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 32288

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Bryson DeChambeau wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-12T08:04:47Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: Winning a major in 2026 has no logical bearing on LIV Golf participation in Q1 2027.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): 31.35% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.8100 + ~$0.0140 est. fees
Days to maturity: 259
Hurdle yield: 4.48%
Excess yield: +26.87% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue