Pair #999

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-JSPA

Will J.J. Spaun win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: J.J. Spaun
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 4303647

YES ask: 0.0030
NO ask: 0.9990
Last: 0.0030

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Rules

If J.J. Spaun wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-VAC26-JSPA

Will J.J. Spaun win the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: J.J. Spaun
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 93781

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If J.J. Spaun wins the Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:14:48Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and winning the Valspar Championship are entirely separate tournaments. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0090
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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