Pair #9970

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR3LEAD-GESO26-WKIM

Will Si Woo Kim lead at the end of Round 3 in the Genesis Scottish Open?

Series: KXPGAR3LEAD
Entity: Si Woo Kim
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 450

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Si Woo Kim is the leader at the end of Round 3 in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-WKIM

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Si Woo Kim finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Si Woo Kim
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4119

YES ask: 0.8500
NO ask: 0.5600
Last: 0.5800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Si Woo Kim finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-12T08:04:07Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: No logical necessity between finishing top 20 and leading after Round 3.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.8500 + ~$0.0089 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.23% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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