Pair #9960

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-WKIM

Will Si Woo Kim win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Si Woo Kim
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 1605618

YES ask: 0.0190
NO ask: 0.9820
Last: 0.0190

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Rules

If Si Woo Kim wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-SWOO

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Si Woo Kim
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 2812

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Si Woo Kim wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-12T08:03:43Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: The Open Championship is one of the four majors, so Si Woo Kim winning it necessarily means he wins a major.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -42.85% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0020 + ~$0.0026 est. fees
Days to maturity: 3
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -47.08% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-12T12:36:01Z

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