Pair #9959

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-RFOW

Will Rickie Fowler win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Rickie Fowler
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 512180

YES ask: 0.0070
NO ask: 0.9940
Last: 0.0070

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Rules

If Rickie Fowler wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-RFOW

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Rickie Fowler
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 1169

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rickie Fowler wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-12T08:03:43Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: The Open Championship is one of the four majors, so winning it necessarily means winning a major.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -46.22% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0040 + ~$0.0011 est. fees
Days to maturity: 3
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -50.45% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-12T12:36:01Z

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