Pair #9956

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-XSCH

Will Xander Schauffele win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Xander Schauffele
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 460891

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9710
Last: 0.0300

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Rules

If Xander Schauffele wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-XSCH

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Xander Schauffele
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 28322

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Xander Schauffele wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-12T08:03:43Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: The Open Championship is one of the four majors, so winning it necessarily means winning a major.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -95.75% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0210 + ~$0.0053 est. fees
Days to maturity: 3
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -99.98% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-12T12:36:01Z

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