Pair #9951

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-CAME

Will Cameron Young win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Cameron Young
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 659490

YES ask: 0.0220
NO ask: 0.9790
Last: 0.0220

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Rules

If Cameron Young wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-CYOU

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Cameron Young
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 80594

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Cameron Young wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-12T08:03:43Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: The Open Championship is one of the four majors, so winning it necessarily means winning a major in 2026. The reverse isn't true since he could win a different major.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -87.59% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0190 + ~$0.0041 est. fees
Days to maturity: 4
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -91.82% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-12T12:36:01Z

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