Pair #9844

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-GESO26-KVIL

Will Karl Vilips win the Genesis Scottish Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Karl Vilips
Expiration: 2026-07-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 423084

YES ask: 0.0030
NO ask: 0.9990
Last: 0.0030

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Karl Vilips wins the Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-KVIL

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Karl Vilips finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Karl Vilips
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2358

YES ask: 0.6200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Karl Vilips finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-12T07:45:39Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOUR is a strict subset of KXPGATOP10 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): N/A
Cost: $1.6190 + ~$0.0166 est. fees
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-12T07:45:39Z

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