Pair #9832

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-ISC26-KSTR

ISCO Championship: Will Kevin Streelman finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Kevin Streelman
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 683

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kevin Streelman finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-ISC26-KSTR

ISCO Championship: Will Kevin Streelman finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Kevin Streelman
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 328

YES ask: 0.1600
NO ask: 0.8700
Last: 0.2400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kevin Streelman finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-12T07:45:39Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP10 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -99.41% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.1400 + ~$0.0108 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -103.64% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-12T07:45:39Z

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