Pair #9828

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-ISC26-CPHI

ISCO Championship: Will Chandler Phillips finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Chandler Phillips
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 445

YES ask: 0.3500
NO ask: 0.7100
Last: 0.2900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chandler Phillips finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-ISC26-CPHI

ISCO Championship: Will Chandler Phillips finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Chandler Phillips
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 254

YES ask: 0.6600
NO ask: 0.3800
Last: 0.6200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chandler Phillips finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-12T07:45:39Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP10 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.3700 + ~$0.0301 est. fees
Days to maturity: 11
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.23% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-12T07:45:39Z

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