Pair #9818

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-ISC26-RCAM

Will Rafael Campos win the ISCO Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Rafael Campos
Expiration: 2026-07-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 122347

YES ask: 0.0090
NO ask: 0.9920
Last: 0.0090

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rafael Campos wins the ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-ISC26-RCAM

ISCO Championship: Will Rafael Campos finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Rafael Campos
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 310

YES ask: 0.6400
NO ask: 0.4200
Last: 0.6500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rafael Campos finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-12T07:45:39Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOUR is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): N/A
Cost: $1.6320 + ~$0.0167 est. fees
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-12T07:45:39Z

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