Pair #9810

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-GESO26-KNAK

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Keita Nakajima finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Keita Nakajima
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1438

YES ask: 0.4500
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.1500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Keita Nakajima finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-KNAK

Will Keita Nakajima win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Keita Nakajima
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 428798

YES ask: 0.0030
NO ask: 0.9980
Last: 0.0030

View on Kalshi

Rules If Keita Nakajima wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-12T07:45:39Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): 406.32% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.9530 + ~$0.0035 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: +402.09% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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