Pair #98

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNBANORTHWEST-25-DEN

Will Denver win the Pro Basketball Northwest Division Winner?

Series: KXNBANORTHWEST
Entity: Denver
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 16526

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Denver is the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Northwest Division Winner, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNBAWEST-26-DEN

Will the Denver win the 2026 Pro Basketball Western Conference Championship?

Series: KXNBAWEST
Entity: Denver
Expiration: 2026-06-30T14:00:00Z
Volume: 1310279

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Denver wins the 2026 Pro Basketball Western Conference Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:01:10Z

Reasoning: Winning the Western Conference Championship does not require winning the Northwest Division (wild card teams can advance). Winning the Northwest Division does not imply winning the Western Conference. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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