Pair #9789

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-SYEL

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 19178

YES ask: 0.2300
NO ask: 0.8000
Last: 0.2400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sudarshan Yellamaraju finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-SYEL

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3977

YES ask: 0.7600
NO ask: 0.8400
Last: 0.5700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sudarshan Yellamaraju finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP10 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.5600 + ~$0.0240 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.23% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

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