Pair #9779

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-NVON

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Nicolai Von Dellingshausen finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Nicolai Von Dellingshausen
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 630

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nicolai Von Dellingshausen finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-NVON

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Nicolai Von Dellingshausen finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Nicolai Von Dellingshausen
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 10437

YES ask: 0.6100
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.4000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nicolai Von Dellingshausen finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP10 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.6100 + ~$0.0167 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.23% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

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