Pair #9774

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-GESO26-DVAN

Will Darius Van Driel win the Genesis Scottish Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Darius Van Driel
Expiration: 2026-07-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 91962

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Darius Van Driel wins the Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-DVAN

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Darius Van Driel finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Darius Van Driel
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 673

YES ask: 0.4800
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.1300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Darius Van Driel finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOUR is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): N/A
Cost: $1.4800 + ~$0.0175 est. fees
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

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