Pair #977

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-LCLA

Valspar Championship: Will Luke Clanton finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Luke Clanton
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1879

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Luke Clanton finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-LCLA

Valspar Championship: Will Luke Clanton finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Luke Clanton
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9506

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Luke Clanton finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:14:13Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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