Pair #9765

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-ASUL

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Andy Sullivan finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Andy Sullivan
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 31035

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Andy Sullivan finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-ASUL

Will Andy Sullivan win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Andy Sullivan
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 14975

YES ask: 0.0020
NO ask: 0.9990
Last: 0.0020

View on Kalshi

Rules If Andy Sullivan wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): 30.02% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.9920 + ~$0.0008 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: +25.79% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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