Pair #9748

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-APUT

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Andrew Putnam finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Andrew Putnam
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 451

YES ask: 0.2500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Andrew Putnam finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-APUT

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Andrew Putnam finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Andrew Putnam
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 7265

YES ask: 0.3800
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Andrew Putnam finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP10 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.3800 + ~$0.0165 est. fees
Days to maturity: 11
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.23% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

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