Pair #9742

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-VPER

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Victor Perez finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Victor Perez
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2060

YES ask: 0.4200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Victor Perez finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-VPER

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Victor Perez finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Victor Perez
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2391

YES ask: 0.4700
NO ask: 0.6700
Last: 0.4300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Victor Perez finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP10 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.4700 + ~$0.0174 est. fees
Days to maturity: 11
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.23% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

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