Pair #9721

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-OLIN

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Oliver Lindell finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Oliver Lindell
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 946

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.2300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Oliver Lindell finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-OLIN

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Oliver Lindell finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Oliver Lindell
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1999

YES ask: 0.7300
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.3800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Oliver Lindell finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP10 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.6800 + ~$0.0171 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.23% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

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