Pair #9716

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-MLIN

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Mikael Lindberg finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Mikael Lindberg
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1922

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mikael Lindberg finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-MLIN

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Mikael Lindberg finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Mikael Lindberg
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1019

YES ask: 0.5600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mikael Lindberg finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP10 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.5600 + ~$0.0172 est. fees
Days to maturity: 11
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.23% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

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