Pair #9690

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-MGRE

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Max Greyserman finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Max Greyserman
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 260

YES ask: 0.2500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Max Greyserman finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-MGRE

Will Max Greyserman win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Max Greyserman
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 645040

YES ask: 0.0030
NO ask: 0.9980
Last: 0.0030

View on Kalshi

Rules If Max Greyserman wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -11.04% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0030 + ~$0.0002 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -15.27% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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