Pair #9673

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-NECH

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Nicolas Echavarria finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Nicolas Echavarria
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1659

YES ask: 0.4100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nicolas Echavarria finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-NECH

Will Nicolas Echavarria win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Nicolas Echavarria
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 153520

YES ask: 0.0020
NO ask: 0.9990
Last: 0.0020

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nicolas Echavarria wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -7.51% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0020 + ~$0.0001 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -11.74% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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