Pair #9665

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-HDUP

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Hennie Du Plessis finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Hennie Du Plessis
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1065

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

Rules

If Hennie Du Plessis finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-HDUP

Will Hennie Du Plessis win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Hennie Du Plessis
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 114299

YES ask: 0.0020
NO ask: 0.9990
Last: 0.0020

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Hennie Du Plessis wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -7.51% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0020 + ~$0.0001 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -11.74% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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