Pair #9656

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-ADEL

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Alejandro Del Rey finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Alejandro Del Rey
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3975

YES ask: 0.2100
NO ask: 0.8300
Last: 0.1700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Alejandro Del Rey finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-ADEL

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Alejandro Del Rey finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Alejandro Del Rey
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1630

YES ask: 0.8300
NO ask: 0.7200
Last: 0.4900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Alejandro Del Rey finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP10 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.6600 + ~$0.0198 est. fees
Days to maturity: 11
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.23% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

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