Pair #9647

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-ECOL

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Eric Cole finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Eric Cole
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 7189

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0500

Rules

If Eric Cole finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-ECOL

Will Eric Cole win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Eric Cole
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 672713

YES ask: 0.0040
NO ask: 0.9970
Last: 0.0040

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Eric Cole wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -14.43% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0040 + ~$0.0003 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -18.66% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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