Pair #9614

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-ISC26-ATOS

Will Alejandro Tosti win the ISCO Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Alejandro Tosti
Expiration: 2026-07-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 231182

YES ask: 0.0070
NO ask: 0.9950
Last: 0.0070

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Alejandro Tosti wins the ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-ISC26-ATOS

ISCO Championship: Will Alejandro Tosti finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Alejandro Tosti
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 705

YES ask: 0.1400
NO ask: 0.9000
Last: 0.1500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Alejandro Tosti finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOUR is a strict subset of KXPGATOP5 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): N/A
Cost: $1.1350 + ~$0.0088 est. fees
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

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