Pair #9593

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-ISC26-TPEN

ISCO Championship: Will Taylor Pendrith finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Taylor Pendrith
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6121

YES ask: 0.5800
NO ask: 0.4900
Last: 0.5300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Taylor Pendrith finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-ISC26-TPEN

ISCO Championship: Will Taylor Pendrith finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Taylor Pendrith
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3745

YES ask: 0.8300
NO ask: 0.2100
Last: 0.9100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Taylor Pendrith finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP10 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -99.99% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.3200 + ~$0.0274 est. fees
Days to maturity: 11
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.22% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

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