Pair #9558

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-ISC26-BKOH

ISCO Championship: Will Ben Kohles finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Ben Kohles
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3663

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.2500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ben Kohles finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-ISC26-BKOH

ISCO Championship: Will Ben Kohles finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Ben Kohles
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5223

YES ask: 0.3200
NO ask: 0.7300
Last: 0.2700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ben Kohles finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP10 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -99.97% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.2600 + ~$0.0192 est. fees
Days to maturity: 11
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.20% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

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