Pair #9552

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-ISC26-CKIM

ISCO Championship: Will Chan Kim finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Chan Kim
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4082

YES ask: 0.7600
NO ask: 0.2800
Last: 0.7700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Chan Kim finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-ISC26-CKIM

ISCO Championship: Will Chan Kim finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Chan Kim
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1000

YES ask: 0.9800
NO ask: 0.1000
Last: 0.9100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Chan Kim finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP10 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -99.97% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.2600 + ~$0.0155 est. fees
Days to maturity: 11
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.20% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

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