Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOUR-ISC26-SJAE
Will Stephan Jaeger win the ISCO Championship?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Stephan Jaeger
Expiration: 2026-07-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 767165
YES ask: 0.1400
NO ask: 0.8800
Last: 0.1400
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Stephan Jaeger wins the ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP10-ISC26-SJAE
ISCO Championship: Will Stephan Jaeger finish top 10?
Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Stephan Jaeger
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3207
YES ask: 0.8000
NO ask: 0.2300
Last: 0.7600
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Stephan Jaeger finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A
Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOUR is a strict subset of KXPGATOP10 for the same player and tournament
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees):
N/A
Cost:
$1.6800
+ ~$0.0186 est. fees
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A