Pair #9535

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-ISC26-BHOS

ISCO Championship: Will Beau Hossler finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Beau Hossler
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1150

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.2200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Beau Hossler finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-ISC26-BHOS

ISCO Championship: Will Beau Hossler finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Beau Hossler
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 566

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.3600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Beau Hossler finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP10 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -96.63% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.1000 + ~$0.0075 est. fees
Days to maturity: 11
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -100.86% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

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