Pair #9531

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-ISC26-MHOM

ISCO Championship: Will Max Homa finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Max Homa
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6480

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0500

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Rules

If Max Homa finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-MHOM

Will Max Homa win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Max Homa
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 405611

YES ask: 0.0040
NO ask: 0.9970
Last: 0.0040

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Max Homa wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -14.43% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0040 + ~$0.0003 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -18.66% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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