Pair #9528

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-ISC26-MHOM

ISCO Championship: Will Max Homa finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Max Homa
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6669

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Max Homa finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-ISC26-MHOM

ISCO Championship: Will Max Homa finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Max Homa
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 19408

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 0.9000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Max Homa finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP10 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -98.19% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.1200 + ~$0.0086 est. fees
Days to maturity: 11
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -102.42% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

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