Pair #9511

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-ISC26-LGRI

ISCO Championship: Will Lanto Griffin finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Lanto Griffin
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4643

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Lanto Griffin finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-ISC26-LGRI

ISCO Championship: Will Lanto Griffin finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Lanto Griffin
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 7473

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Lanto Griffin finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP10 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -84.99% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0500 + ~$0.0033 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -89.22% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

Authenticate

← Back to review queue