Pair #9502

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-ISC26-LGLO

ISCO Championship: Will Lucas Glover finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Lucas Glover
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2734

YES ask: 0.9200
NO ask: 0.1100
Last: 0.9200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Lucas Glover finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-ISC26-LGLO

ISCO Championship: Will Lucas Glover finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Lucas Glover
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 27433

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 0.0300
Last: 0.9800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Lucas Glover finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP10 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -97.60% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.1000 + ~$0.0075 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -101.83% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

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