Pair #95

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNBAGAME-26MAR18DENMEM-DEN

Denver at Memphis Winner?

Series: KXNBAGAME
Entity: Denver
Expiration: 2026-03-19T03:30:00Z
Volume: 42942

YES ask: 0.8800
NO ask: 0.1300
Last: 0.8800

Rules

If Denver wins the Denver at Memphis professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNBANORTHWEST-25-DEN

Will Denver win the Pro Basketball Northwest Division Winner?

Series: KXNBANORTHWEST
Entity: Denver
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 16526

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Denver is the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Northwest Division Winner, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:01:10Z

Reasoning: Winning a single game does not imply winning the division, and winning the division does not require winning any specific individual game. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.1400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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