Pair #9490

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-ISC26-AEWA

ISCO Championship: Will A.J. Ewart finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: A.J. Ewart
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 970

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If A.J. Ewart finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-ISC26-AEWA

ISCO Championship: Will A.J. Ewart finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: A.J. Ewart
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 358

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.4700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If A.J. Ewart finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP10 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -97.50% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.1000 + ~$0.0063 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -101.73% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

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