Pair #9483

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-ISC26-ADUM

ISCO Championship: Will Adrien Dumont De Chassart finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Adrien Dumont De Chassart
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1638

YES ask: 0.1400
NO ask: 0.9000
Last: 0.2000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Adrien Dumont De Chassart finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-ISC26-ADUM

ISCO Championship: Will Adrien Dumont De Chassart finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Adrien Dumont De Chassart
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2825

YES ask: 0.4200
NO ask: 0.6200
Last: 0.3800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Adrien Dumont De Chassart finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP10 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.3200 + ~$0.0234 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.23% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

Authenticate

← Back to review queue