Pair #9464

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-ISC26-ZBLA

ISCO Championship: Will Zac Blair finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Zac Blair
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2320

YES ask: 0.6400
NO ask: 0.3900
Last: 0.6500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Zac Blair finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-ISC26-ZBLA

ISCO Championship: Will Zac Blair finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Zac Blair
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5341

YES ask: 0.8700
NO ask: 0.1600
Last: 0.8400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Zac Blair finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP10 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -99.98% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.2600 + ~$0.0246 est. fees
Days to maturity: 11
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.21% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

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