Pair #9460

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-ISC26-CBEZ

ISCO Championship: Will Christiaan Bezuidenhout finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2465

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 0.9100
Last: 0.1300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Christiaan Bezuidenhout finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-ISC26-CBEZ

ISCO Championship: Will Christiaan Bezuidenhout finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2611

YES ask: 0.3500
NO ask: 0.6800
Last: 0.3200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Christiaan Bezuidenhout finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP10 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -99.99% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.2600 + ~$0.0217 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.22% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

Authenticate

← Back to review queue