Pair #9438

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-GESO26-JSMI

Will Jordan L. Smith win the Genesis Scottish Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Jordan L. Smith
Expiration: 2026-07-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 885282

YES ask: 0.0380
NO ask: 0.9680
Last: 0.0380

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jordan L. Smith wins the Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-JSMI

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Jordan L. Smith finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Jordan L. Smith
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6982

YES ask: 0.9000
NO ask: 0.2400
Last: 0.9100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jordan L. Smith finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOUR is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): N/A
Cost: $1.8680 + ~$0.0085 est. fees
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

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