Pair #9435

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-JSMI

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Jordan L. Smith finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Jordan L. Smith
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6982

YES ask: 0.9000
NO ask: 0.2400
Last: 0.9100

Rules

If Jordan L. Smith finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-JSMI

Will Jordan L. Smith win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Jordan L. Smith
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 463676

YES ask: 0.0050
NO ask: 0.9960
Last: 0.0050

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jordan L. Smith wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.2450 + ~$0.0131 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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