Pair #9434

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-GESO26-JSMI

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Jordan L. Smith finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Jordan L. Smith
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 808

YES ask: 0.3800
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.3900

Rules

If Jordan L. Smith finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-JSMI

Will Jordan L. Smith win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Jordan L. Smith
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 463676

YES ask: 0.0050
NO ask: 0.9960
Last: 0.0050

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jordan L. Smith wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.9250 + ~$0.0055 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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