Pair #9430

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-ASAD

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Adrien Saddier finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Adrien Saddier
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2567

YES ask: 0.4000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Adrien Saddier finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-ASAD

Will Adrien Saddier win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Adrien Saddier
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 230167

YES ask: 0.0020
NO ask: 0.9990
Last: 0.0020

View on Kalshi

Rules If Adrien Saddier wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -7.51% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0020 + ~$0.0001 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -11.74% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue