Pair #9428

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-SNOR

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Shaun Norris finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Shaun Norris
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1458

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Shaun Norris finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-SNOR

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Shaun Norris finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Shaun Norris
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2843

YES ask: 0.4000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Shaun Norris finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP10 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.4000 + ~$0.0168 est. fees
Days to maturity: 11
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.23% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

Authenticate

← Back to review queue