Pair #9425

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-SNOR

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Shaun Norris finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Shaun Norris
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2843

YES ask: 0.4000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

Rules

If Shaun Norris finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-SNOR

Will Shaun Norris win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Shaun Norris
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 1802

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Shaun Norris wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -3.83% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0010 + ~$0.0001 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -8.06% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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