Pair #9415

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-GESO26-KNAK

Will Keita Nakajima win the Genesis Scottish Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Keita Nakajima
Expiration: 2026-07-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 585679

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9840
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Keita Nakajima wins the Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-KNAK

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Keita Nakajima finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Keita Nakajima
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4296

YES ask: 0.9100
NO ask: 0.5200
Last: 0.9100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Keita Nakajima finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOUR is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): N/A
Cost: $1.8940 + ~$0.0068 est. fees
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

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